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F · Stage 3 of 5 · Functional

Forecast

A model, rule or judgement uses the data to predict what will happen next or in a given situation.

What goes wrong

ClassWhat it looks like
No forecastWhat it looks likeThe program reports only current conditions, so action starts after the problem begins.
Not usableWhat it looks likeThe forecast exists but does not say whether to act.
Not validatedWhat it looks likeThe model was built for an approval and has never been compared with what the site measured.
Bad inputWhat it looks likeThe forecast uses faulty Sense data, even though its method is correct.
Stale designWhat it looks likeThe site or climate has changed, but the design conditions have not been reviewed.
Average onlyWhat it looks likeThe forecast uses average conditions but does not cover the day when wind blows towards the town.

Problems and services

ProblemService
No forecast shows when a trigger may be reachedServiceMonitoring system review
A model that has never been compared with what the site measuredServiceMonitoring system review

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